Either wins or it doesnt are the two possible outcomes, their chances of happenning being 50% or different is a separate matter.

The answer is that we can’t know because each of those can have different skill levels. However, given that this seems to be a question t prove knowledge about odds of 1 in 5, let’s assume that they are all equally skilled, then it’s 1/5 = 20%.

No, this wasn’t made with ChatGPT. I don’t go to parties.

While Michael’s assertion of a 50% chance of winning the race seems logical from his subjective viewpoint of “winning or not winning”, it’s mathematically incorrect. In a race with five equally skilled runners, the probability of any one runner winning is 1/5, or 20%. Michael’s simplification of the outcomes doesn’t correctly calculate the probability and indicates a possible misunderstanding of how to calculate odds.

Yes, this was made with ChatGPT. No, I’m not fun at parties.