I’ve listened to the Poor Proles Almanac and they’re basically left-unity (anarchist) preppers. Their information is probably useful either way, though. I just started listening to It Could Happen Here, and the first episode is pretty cringe. Robert Evans is anti-Assad and thinks a Syrian civil war type scenario could happen here. He praises maidan coup fascist protesters (without mentioning their fascism or US backing). And of course, he thinks a collapse could be soon in 2019 and a lot of crazy stuff has happened since, but no civil war. I’ll keep listening critically to see if he has anything decent to say, but not looking good. As the empire crumbles and climate change gets worse is a collapse scenario realistic?
Personally I have the theory that the US will turn into an open fascist dictatorship somewhere within the next 20 years
The thing I wonder about is what that would look like. Who would take control of the 4000ish nuclear weapons and the 800+ bases around the globe? It wouldn’t really be good for anyone if the US military was decapitated, and split into various factions or whatever else might happen from that point on.
I really don’t know how that can work in anyone’s favor without a nuke or two being used somewhere.
Bases will be destroyed, idk about bombs. The thing that must be done is mass scale cyber attack on USA’s nuclear system and disable it, and then, ONLY THEN, the world won’t be in danger anymore.
that would require coordination and timing… who can predict when the US will collapse with any amount of certainty?
i know nothing about how the nuclear arms are operated, but i would be aghast if it were remotely possible they could be disarmed via the internet
yes because that means that they could be launched via internet. Last I heard the system is airgapped using old technology and I hope that they did not do an upgrade to improve effeciency of launch to depreciate security of unauthorized launches.
IMO one of the most important characteristics of this century will be the mass-migration of networked labor. For the first time ever, an immigrant worker can be in real-time contact with their friends and family back home. That makes every immigrant an ambassador for labor, a bridge between the unions of two countries. Global warming will force hundreds of millions to migrate by the end of this century.
When their unions become large enough and conscious of their power, they will be able to organize strikes that span continents. Imagine a strike against Tesla that shuts down not just the sales floors in the US, but the factory in Mexico, the lithium mine in Bolivia, and anybody else who makes any parts Tesla needs. The capitalists won’t know what hit them.
Its just my opinion, but it’s a hard no from me. Even if the US declines nominally on certain fronts, it is not necessarily declining relative to its peers. So it’s it’s influence is not really declining noticeably enough to signal qualitative change.
Yes there are plenty of things to be optimistic about, such as dedollarization and seeming to fail in Ukraine, but this will not be a fast enough process to blindside it. The US has time to adapt and disrupt the coalitions that are necessary to push forward and there is still time for mistakes on the part of coalition builders, or antagonistic contradictions developing among them.
Basically, even as the US becomes more and more vulnerable, everyone else is still vulnerable as well.
Also, the US has other weapons such as it’s propaganda machine and imo it’s never been more dangerous than it is right now. It doesn’t need to be persuasive either, only disruptive.
Most importantly, very few people in the US seem to actually want it to fall. This important because even if the US seriously stumbles, it is more likley that Americans generally will seek to recover it’s footing instead delivering the killing blow and moving forward in a decolonial and anti-imperialist direction.
At the same time, however, I feel like most of the security the US enjoys is something that could collapes relatively quickly. I just think I would be too optimistic to believe this must happen anytime soon instead of under other circumstances such as a highly developed alternative international coalition and an organized front at home. The BRICS still have work to do imo, but indeed the ball is rolling, just gotta pick up the pace.
Collapse or civil war doesn’t necessarily mean revolution. Robert Evans thinks it would be simultaneous fascist terrorism and a strong urban left movement causing destabilization of the federal government. I’m not really convinced as fascists are probably just going to seize state power and have no need to fight it, but it’s a possibility. The closest thing I can realistically imagine to revolution is the federal government losing control as it runs out of oil and socialists and anti-colonial forces are able to get hold of smaller territories.
I can see a full on civil war. Trump will win and all the idpol people will jump to action and condemn Russia and china 🤣
I disagree that an actual civil war is in the cards. Wars are fought over territory, and while the country is divided politically, those divisions don’t clearly map onto particular territories within the US. What I could see happening is something like the Years of Lead, with various political factions engaging in street fighting and mounting terrorist attacks amid generally worsening economic conditions.
I can’t wait for Trump to win for 2 reasons. First, I can’t bear to see or listen to Biden anymore, at least Trump is funny and because I can’t wait to see the fuckup he will cause.
I’ve heard people say Trump is funny but honestly, how? At best he’s just annoying and at worst he’s completely vile.
Only thing funny about him is how much of an incompetent idiot he is.
He is a meme goldmine lmao
Civil war? Idk
Collapse? God I hope so.
