• RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Something others have not said:
    Trump is very fickle, and manages the country like his business empire, like an autocrat. Everything to him must be a direct quid-pro-quo, so if he does not directly see the benefit of something, it’s ‘the worst ever’ and he will not honor earlier agreements.

    Wel in international politics, everything is about your reputation as a country and your reliability.

    Many countries, EU and APAC have traded on the US as a reliable party, for safety, security and stability (even though plenty of other countries will disagree).

    Trump and the Republican congress are showing that when push comes to shove, the US has politicians that would rather play politics than help allies.

    This forces these countries to re-evaluate their dependence.

    Keep in mind that the US believes a conflict with China is on the horizon and inevitable.

    • But how the US will fare against a (near) peer adversary without their APAC allies, and without the EU cutting economic ties if the conflict erupts is probably not going to be well.

    China will have home turf advantage, and is setting up and modernizing its military at beak-neck speed to do 3 things:

    • defend the communist party from her enemies
    • defend china from the US
    • invade and hold taiwan
    • SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
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      8 months ago

      Nobody wants to start a land war in China, that would be insane. Defending Taiwan from Chinese aggression is what it’s all about. But China is probably about a decade away from having the capability to make a move on Taiwan.