I’ve been watching several YouTube videos featuring interviews with people from various constituencies, and there’s a common theme among those voting for Reform. They often say, “I can’t vote Tory, and I won’t vote Labour, so I have no choice but to vote Reform.”
This sentiment gives me a strong sense of déjà vu, reminiscent of the confidence among Remainers before Brexit and the optimism of the left in 2015.
Is it possible we could be heading towards a dark timeline with a Tory-Reform coalition?
I think Labour will win a landslide this year, but 2029 (or earlier) will give voters enough time to be frustrated that despite all the talk about change, nothing will in fact change. That plus war on the horizon (literally maybe) and it seems that a right wing government of some description will be in power next. That may be a reform/tory merger of some sort, or it could even be labour lurching even further to the right. Either way, I fear we are headed into dystopia.
There’s almost no chance of a Conservative-Reform coalition winning this election. If it did, the opinion polling industry would cease to exist.
Reform won’t win enough seats anyway to be part of government because their vote share will be too spread out and that’s useless under FPTP.
