![](https://monero.town/pictrs/image/1466a02f-8765-435f-9d10-f18e2c3eeaef.webp)
![](https://monero.town/pictrs/image/a5e4fa35-1fb9-41c5-a621-82531923d2fe.webp)
Hey, this is a great idea.
I’ve been brainstorming how to create a political betting site using Monero - would Sigmanero ecosystem be easily adaptable to politcal events (eg/ elections) as well as sporting bets?
For me the main point of influence is the ‘oracle’ - who decides that the event is over and what the result is. If the lakers win 20-5 then it’s easy but if there’s extra time or the game is abandoned then the oracle becomes arbiter. Likewise in an election if the result is unclear or disputed then it is hard to definitively say who won within a given time frame.
At no point in time will Sigmanero have controls of funds
If Sigmanero is the oracle in this scenario - the could falsely declare that the Celtics won and could thereby designate funds (along with the losing bet-signer who wouldn’t mind winning some xmr). Therefore there is still a corruptible element.
Whilst I agree that for small amounts there isn’t a temptation to cheat - that argument doesn’t scale. Many betting facilities in crypto gain traction due to their ease of use - and in XMR it could get big too as it’s private. Then we can envision a superbowl-tier event where there are big bets going down and the temptation and facility to rugpull is there. I’m not doubting you / Sigmanero’s character just the game theory. As I say I’m keen to see your project work.
Sidenote: Does Sigmanero take donations? Or is it voluntarily hosted? The funding question helps users understand the motives behind the project. I would donate but be suspicious of a ‘free’ betting website.
check out this episode of monerotalk
https://www.monerotalk.live/monerotalk-304
Roman Sterlingov arrested and charged - without sufficient evidence - for using / operating a bitcoin mixer.
Based purely on SPECULATIVE chainalysis, heuristics cannot guarantee that he was the user. However, as chainalysis is in bed with intelligence services it is their gold standard. Now there is legal precedent to admit SPURIOUS chainalysis evidence in court. As noob judges/juries don’t in2 tech they are strong armed by the state into accepting it.
Therefore anyone who holds a tainted bitcoin (or any public ledger crypto) can be tainted by that coin IN LAW and charged for any crime that utxo ever got near.
The lawyers give a great rundown of the case here demonstrating how badly justice has failed.
-He KYC’d BTC in 2011 on Mt Gox -His utxo’s bounced around a few wallets and ended up being used to buy the bitcoinfog domain [he is accused of buying the domain w/o proof] -He later pulled some BTC out of Bitcoinfog into KYC’d exchanges to off-ramp [he is accused of being paid by bitcoinfog for services w/o proof]
The fact that the ghouls are harvesting data from early days (eg/ 2011) that anyone who ever KYC’d anywhere can be linked by chainalysis with a crime. Hence a cooling effect on crypto writ large.