I’m not exactly a fan of democrats. But that’s hyperbole. Her history points to someone that will stand up even when political winds blow against trans rights. She’s taken principled stands before.

Mind you, her history also shows a strong proclivity for toeing the line of “law first” as a prosecutor, and she’s far from ideal on a dozen other issues for me. I just don’t see this issue changing for her based on past actions. I don’t like her. Didn’t before she was VP.

I think you may be underestimating the polling power of the LGBTQ+ segment. The advantage of working as a bloc has been successful so far in carving out influence in democratic circles. That isn’t going to go away easy. Those of us that will vote as allies of that bloc but would also not vote as allies aren’t a minor number either, even though we aren’t democrats and never will be.

Democrats can’t abandon the black vote or the gay vote. They do, and they’re fucked because they’re gerrymandered too much already. Not that you can trust any politician to be honorable or consistent on the basis of supporting their constituents. But collective lobbying works. Not perfectly, but still.