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Cake day: March 13th, 2025

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  • I totally agree that primaries are far easier. Orders of magnitude. But you hold on to a lot of baggage that way. There’s something attractive about a fresh start, and there are very successful independent candidates. Bernie has good reasons not to be part of the Democratic Party.

    And ranked choice isn’t the only thing you need; you need proportional representation in Congress. That’s the only way to actually represent all Americans. It’s always going to be hard to get one of the two parties in power to give up that power to share it with more parties.

    But as I said, such a big third party is incredibly hard. The system is rigged against it, and the financing and media even more so. You’d have to have a very broad popular movement, more than just a party. There’s nothing like that but there are candidates for primaries.

    That’s not going make me stop dreaming about a big third party, though.






  • I’m not so sure. There are a lot of people not voting at all, and there’s a lot of toxic hate towards the Dems. Unfair, based largely on lies, but that doesn’t change the fact that a lot of people vote against the Dems and their own interests because they believe the lies. A lot of Republicans are disappointed with Trump, but still unwilling to vote Dem.

    A clean slate might actually do a lot of good. I do think you’d have to position the party not so much as Progressive, but as “fixing the broken democracy, representing the people rather than the corporations, fixing the overpriced healthcare system”, etc. Present a fact-based, people representing center. Offer sane compromises for the culture war issues (abortion access for rape, medical problems and the first 12 weeks, no abortions of healthy fetuses in the last trimester). That gives conservative voters something that sounds totally reasonable and the GOP can’t point out that this still legalizes 90% of abortions without revealing they always lied about late term abortions. Do the same with every other culture war issue, while driving home on the issues that actually matter and everybody overwhelmingly wants: cheaper, better healthcare, no corporate money in politics, etc.

    I think if you do this big enough (but that’s the really hard part), then you might just knock one of the other parties out. Offer a better alternative to both of them, not a more extreme version of one of them.





  • That is very well put, and as far as I can tell it applies to all forms of conservatism, from monarchism where the king is above the law and peasants have no rights, to oligarchy where the rich are above the law while the poor have no rights, to fascism where the inner circle and the stormtroopers who serve them are above the law while minorities have no rights, or class-based societies where your laws and rights depend on your class or caste, and theocracy where the clergy decides your rights and obligations depending on your position.





  • Medvedev’s credibility is low indeed. He’s always the one to do the nuclear sabre rattling.

    Even so, I wonder if this might not work as a devious plan for them. Give Iran a nuke, and if they use it offensively, they’ll be the ones testing the rest of the world about what they’re going to do about it without any risk of Russia getting turned into a steppe of glass.

    Israel might get destroyed, Iran might get destroyed, but Russia will survive. And if Iran survives, that gives Russia more confidence that they will too if they use a nuclear bomb.