President Bidenā€™s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump. Campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said in a memo that inā€¦

President Bidenā€™s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump.

Campaign managerĀ Julie Chavez RodriguezĀ said in a memo that investing in Florida is part of the Biden campaignā€™s pathway to 270 electoral votes. Trump won the Sunshine State in 2020 with more than 51 percent, compared to Bidenā€™s 48 percent.

ā€œMake no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trumpā€™s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition,ā€ she said.

ā€¦

The Biden campaign has also set its sightsĀ on flipping North CarolinaĀ in November. Trump won North Carolina by a tight margin in 2020, and Biden visited the state as part of his tour of every battleground state last month.

  • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldEnglish
    414Ā·
    8 months ago

    They have so much fucking money on hand they can blow it in Florida to troll Trump and Desantis. I think roughly 10-20% of the Republican party is,

    It already cost Biden over a billion dollars in 2020 to win the electoral by a very small marginā€¦

    Pew research did a poll and found that 12% of respondents were capable of operating a Nuclear Sub (the reality is less than 1%)

    Weirdly topical, but Iā€™m assuming they meant Naval Nuclear Engineersā€¦

    The ASVAB is typical standardized test where the best score is 99%. Weighted for when the test is taken.

    So if only 1% could be a nuke, that would be assuming 100% of people take the test and the Navy only takes 99.

    Now, I got a 99, and got into the program. But there was people in the high 70s as well. People could retake the test as many times as they want. And there is/was even a supplemental test people could take if their main ASVAB wasnā€™t quite high enough.

    So yeah, 12% of poll responders being able to do the toughest job of a nuclear sub doesnā€™t sound rightā€¦

    Itā€™s really much higher than that.

    • RGB3x3@lemmy.worldEnglish
      52Ā·
      8 months ago

      You didnā€™t click the link did you?

      The poll was about who is ā€œlicensedā€ not just ā€œsmart enough.ā€

      • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldEnglish
        25Ā·
        8 months ago

        You didnā€™t click the link did you?

        The on hyperlinked in the previous sentence that just says ā€œpolls are brokenā€?

        No, I donā€™t click on most links that donā€™t say where theyā€™re going and sounc conspiracial. Iā€™m on a phone and canā€™t ā€œhoverā€ to see.

        I just did tho:

        For example, in a February 2022 survey experiment, we asked opt-in respondents if they were licensed to operate a class SSGN (nuclear) submarine. In the opt-in survey, 12% of adults under 30 claimed this qualification, significantly higher than the share among older respondents. In reality, the share of Americans with this type of submarine license rounds to 0%.

        So, OP read one thing, and then said another.

        But thatā€™s about something factual, not an opinion like ā€œwho are you going to vote forā€.

        And it is specifically about online opt in pollsā€¦

        https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/05/online-opt-in-polls-can-produce-misleading-results-especially-for-young-people-and-hispanic-adults/

        Which is probably why OP decided to hide the link. You donā€™t even need to read the title to realize why itā€™s not relevant. The link says it plain as day.

        But man, Iā€™ve been overestimating people recently.

        If you truly donā€™t understand why ā€œonline opt in pollsā€ are the worst kind of polling I can take the time to explain it. But itā€™s basically like saying trump is selling shitty shoes so youā€™ve decided to go barefoot the rest of your life.

        • FlowVoid@lemmy.worldEnglish
          52Ā·
          8 months ago

          ā€œonline opt in pollsā€ are the worst kind of polling

          YouGov, SurveyMonkey, The Harris Poll, Morning Consult and Lucid are all online opt-in polls. Those polls, and others like them, are the ones that everyone uses to show that Trump is ahead of Biden.

          The rest are generally random-digit dialing phone polls. Guess what: those are even worse.

          • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldEnglish
            21Ā·
            8 months ago

            Formating a hyperlink so itā€™s embedded in text is more work than just putting the linkā€¦

            But the multitasking does explain why you didnā€™t notice it was an online opt in poll.

            That was my issues. Your statistics, not your ā€œjournalismā€ while shitting.